Manchester City, led by Pep Guardiola in his 1000th match, secured a dominant 3-0 Premier League win over rivals Liverpool thanks to goals from Erling Haaland, Nico González, and Jérémy Doku.
According to Opta data published by The Analyst, Liverpool is statistically well-positioned to secure at least a draw against Manchester City in the pivotal Premier League clash this Sunday, despite being priced as underdogs by bookmakers.
The match is crucial, with both clubs trailing league leaders Arsenal. The Opta predictive model assigns Liverpool a “53.1% chance of getting something from the game”, broken down into a 26.7% chance for an away win and a 26.4% chance for a draw.
Analysts suggest this makes Liverpool a good value selection to avoid defeat.
Goal-scoring data strongly points towards an open, high-scoring affair. Liverpool, with 18 goals, is second only to City’s 20 this season.
Furthermore, the Reds have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of their nine league matches, and Opta notes that ten of the last 13 meetings between the rivals have featured goals at both ends.
Individually, Liverpool talisman Mohamed Salah continues to be a historical threat to City, boasting “nine goals and six assists against City in the Premier League – the most goal involvements against us of any Premier League player ever.”
The analysis also notes that Liverpool, currently third in the table, will draw confidence from their recent 1-0 win against Real Madrid in Europe, demonstrating an ability to secure vital results against top opposition.