Analysis from The Analyst reveals a staggering statistical paradox at Manchester United, concluding that Ruben Amorim’s side is the Premier League’s most underperforming team relative to their underlying metrics.
The Red Devils rank among the league’s best for Expected Goals (xG) but remain 14th in the actual table.
Analysis from The Analyst reveals a staggering statistical paradox at Manchester United, concluding Ruben Amorim’s side is the Premier League’s most underperforming team relative to their underlying metrics.
While the Red Devils frequently top the charts for attacking quality, including Expected Goals (xG), they remain 14th in the actual table, far below their expected position.
This inconsistency stems primarily from a structural defensive issue. United rank among the worst for Expected Goals Against (xGA), allowing rivals too many touches in their box.
Statistical evidence shows a dramatic decline in control when Casemiro is absent, with opponents generating higher quality chances and open-play xG conceded nearly tripling.
The findings tie into comments made by loanee Marcus Rashford, who blamed the club’s instability for his fluctuating form. “For sure, consistency is a massive part of it. I feel like I have been in an inconsistent environment for a very long time, so it is even more difficult to be consistent.”
Resolving the midfield protection issue remains crucial for United to convert their attacking promise into actual points.